Concept of Supply/Demand Trendline - 20% opportunity in 3MINDIA👑 Terms used if you don't know :
✣ Contraction pattern: A pattern starting with a broadening high candlestick and low candlestick and converging to a fixed point, these highs and lows created in between them are bulls vs bears fight going on inside the pattern and if it comes to the lower part of it, surely bulls will take it to the topmost point and vice-versa until one of them wins
✣ Structure and trend: Two types of trends that exist in the market today are uptrends and downtrends. Each type of trend tells a different story and has its own impact on a trader's success in the market. While uptrends show a series of higher highs and higher lows, downtrends show lower highs and lower lows
✣Breakout: Breakouts are commonly associated with ranges or other chart patterns, including triangles( HERE WE WILL SEE THIS ONE ), flags, wedges, and head-and-shoulders. These patterns are formed when the price moves in a specific way which results in well-defined support and/or resistance levels. Traders then watch these levels for breakouts
✣ RSI DIVERGENCE: A bullish divergence occurs when the RSI creates an oversold reading followed by a higher low that matches correspondingly lower lows in the price. This indicates rising bullish momentum, and a break above oversold territory could be used to trigger a new long position.
✣ Supply/ Demand: In the supply zone, the prices are higher than the bid price, and in the demand zone, they are lower. The bid price is what a trader is willing to pay for a stock
👑 Important levels ( also most of it depends on your entry and mindset during trading hours )
✣ Risk of 4-5% at the entry-level of 21500 ( approx trade as per the breakout candle ) - entry possible on 1hr and 2hr charts
✣ Targets can be 20% from the buy point ( the top point of the triangle as the target )
👑 Comment your thoughts and queries regarding anything on this analysis of mine, feel free buddy :)
⌛ Motivational and psychological area ⌛
✣Trade only if you are in the right mindset, if you have been emotionally weak for some time, take your time and don't trade, trade with a happy and + mindset only.
✣If you want to make money, firstly be prepared to lose it, only that much which you can afford and that much by which you can make a mistake again, learn from them and grow
✣Don't lose hope and keep grinding
✣I have seen my friends on youtube streaming games with watching 10, constantly they streamed for a year or two and now they are buzzing with 1k to 2k watching daily.
✣Focus on the process, you are here to make money not stupid decisions and lose it all
✣No one will help you climb the mountain, few will tell the path, so follow good people, make good mentors and make good decisions and choices in the stock market.
✣Believe in yourself :)
🎓🎓 Some info about me :)
➼My name is Apoorv and I am a 2nd year Engineering student, I want to pursue trading as my career, and thus whatsoever setups or trades I potentially see on my charting platform, I post it here and share them with you all.
➼I hope you will love my simple analysis style.
➼Feel free to suggest your view on this as learning is earning here :)
➼I take my trades on my Zerodha account :)
➼I don't take all the trades I post
➼These charts are my and only my work, my thought process, just from an educational point of view and no calls.
☃☃☃☃ Thank You Have a Nice Trading Day ☃☃☃☃
Search in ideas for "Chart Patterns"
Trend analysis for Bank NiftyIt is a chart of Bank Nifty on the 15min timeframe. As you can clearly see that Bank Nifty is making an ascending triangle chart pattern which is a bullish pattern as well as Bank Nifty weekly chart is showing a clear bullish harami. So if you buy weekly options than the trend is definitely positive. But Bank Nifty is quite bearish on the basis of intraday.
PS- Nifty is weak and Bank Nifty can carry it according to the data provided.
*Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line, option chain data, etc,. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types gains or loses in the market.
the flag chart pattern in NIFTYA flag chart pattern is formed when the market consolidates in a narrow range after a sharp move.
Flag Pattern is one of the most popular chart patterns, formed by price action, which is contained within a small rectangle or a channel in the shape of a flag. Flags are short-term continuation patterns that mark a small consolidation before the previous move resumes.
Flags can be seen in any time frame but normally consist of about five to 15 price bars.
Trading with Bullish Flag
> Flag Buy Signal - When the price has moved higher and prices have consolidated, creating a channel of support and resistance, a potential buy signal is given when prices penetrate and close above the upward resistance line.
> The pattern has completed when the price breaks out of the containing trend lines in the direction of the prevailing trend, at which point it will likely continue its course.
> Targets: The length of the flagpole can be applied to the resistance line of the flag to estimate the advance or target area.
MACD helps investors understand whether the bullish or bearish ... you can see how the two EMAs applied to the price chart
Nifty- Believe it or not 10000 coming till March 2018Yes friends you heard it right its Nifty which is going to touch 10000 in a year till March 2018 . :-)
But how and what is basis of talking about this big target i explain-
See the Chart friends, Nifty formed the cup and handle mentioned in blue arcs in the chart from Jan 2008 to Feb 2014 and gave a breakout at point A in mar-2014, from there it gave a massive move of almost 43% in a year till point I in Mar-2015.
The same similar setup pf cup and handle is formed in nifty from there on and it had given the breakout at point B, yes again in march-2017. So on calculating the move it can be expected that it will give the similar move till next march-2018 and a move of 12% is expected from here based on calculations.
Points to be noted in this-
1) In both the cases Nifty is above 200MA and also 50MA.
2). See the Charts patterns in both Cup & Handle u will get surprise that a similar pattern is there on broad view.
3).Same chart patterns are repeated by forming a W pattern.
4).Above all timing is also same March.
"Timing is same + Pattern is same "
So what u think friends will history repeat and a good move is coming from here.
I think yes what's ur view..
HDFCBANK Support & Resistance To determine the support and resistance levels for HDFC Bank (as of now, in December 2024), we would typically rely on technical analysis methods such as identifying recent swing highs and swing lows, using Fibonacci retracement levels, and observing moving averages and chart patterns. These levels change frequently, depending on market conditions, but I’ll provide a general guideline on how to calculate these levels and some typical support/resistance points that might be relevant.
How to Find HDFC Bank's Support & Resistance Levels:
Swing Highs and Lows: The most basic form of support and resistance is identifying the points on the price chart where HDFC Bank has recently bounced (support) or reversed down (resistance).
Support: Price level where the stock finds buying interest and reverses from a downtrend.
Resistance: Price level where the stock finds selling pressure and reverses from an uptrend.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool to predict possible support and resistance levels. Typically, the key levels are:
23.6%
38.2%
50%
61.8%
These can be drawn by taking the most recent significant swing low and swing high (or vice versa) on the chart.
Moving Averages: Key moving averages like the 50-day, 100-day, or 200-day can serve as dynamic support or resistance levels. If the price is above the moving average, it often acts as support, and if the price is below, it often acts as resistance.
Psychological Levels: Round numbers such as ₹1,500, ₹1,600, ₹2,000, etc., often act as strong psychological barriers.
Volume: High-volume areas in the past can act as strong support/resistance zones.
High conviction stock - EMBASSY.RRI usually don't believe in patterns, since pattern trading era is gone. However, breakout works since price reacts first before the news.
It's just a perspective, a simple chart for pattern lovers.....
P.S: No Hate, only peace & Love for all traders out there!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN LOWER TIMEFRAME AND RETRACE IF NEEDED. SL IS NEARER SUPPORT ZONE IN Daily TIMEFRAME.
PS: No new Nifty500 script can escape from me when making a breakout. :-)
Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money.
Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts.
The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play.
LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
Potential upmove - AGROPHOSCheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe.
IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
Fundamentally it can be due to any major decisions in the management or tremendous performance shown or any such positive actions. Technically, it would have shown an up-move using MA or RSI breakout or any such analysis.
I usually don't believe in patterns, since pattern trading era is gone. However, breakout works since price reacts first before the news.
It's just a perspective, a simple chart for pattern lovers.....
P.S: No Hate, only peace & Love for all traders out there!
Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money.
Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts.
The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play.
LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action Analysis
Introduction
Hold on to your digital wallets, fellow traders! We're diving into the latest price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USD), where the recent breakout has left us all on the edge of our seats. Let's dissect this chart and see what the crypto king is up to. 🚀💰
Price Action Overview
Chart Analysis
Current Price: $55,992.52
24-Hour High: $57,027.91
24-Hour Low: $55,909.09
Volume: 111.36 BTC (yup, that's a lot of virtual coins moving around!)
Key Technical Indicators
Rising Wedge Pattern: A bearish pattern indicating a potential reversal.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken below the lower trendline of the rising wedge.
Volume Analysis: Noticeable increase in volume during the breakout, hinting at strong market
participation.
Detailed Analysis
Rising Wedge Pattern
Pattern Description: A rising wedge typically forms during a downtrend and is considered a bearish continuation pattern.
Implications: The breakout below the lower trendline suggests that bears are taking control. The support might be a bit weak here, like a soggy cardboard box trying to hold up your crypto dreams.
Breakout Confirmation
Breakout Level: Around $55,992.52
Implications: The bearish breakout indicates that the price might continue to decline. Time to buckle up, this ride could get bumpy!
Volume Analysis
Volume Trend: Volume has spiked during the breakout, adding credibility to the move.
Significance: High volume during a breakout is often a strong indicator of the move's validity. In simpler terms, the crowd is chanting, and it doesn't look good for the bulls.
Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: $54,600.00 - Keep an eye on this level; it might just be Bitcoin's life raft.
Immediate Resistance: $57,864.53 - The bulls need to conquer this to regain any lost ground.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has shown a bearish breakout from a rising wedge pattern with substantial volume, indicating potential for further downside. Traders should monitor the immediate support level at $54,600.00 and resistance at $57,864.53 for potential bounce or continuation points. Stay vigilant, and may your trades be as fruitful as a bull market in full swing!
Disclaimer
This analysis is based on historical data and chart patterns. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
Stock Market Analysis Report: IRCON International Limited Introduction
Hello, fellow traders! Buckle up because IRCON International Limited is on the move, and it’s picking up speed faster than a bullet train! 🚄 Let's dive into the technical analysis and see what the charts are telling us about this infrastructure giant.
Price Action Overview
Chart Analysis
Current Price: ₹307.75
Daily High: ₹315.80
Daily Low: ₹286.50
Volume: 116.643M
Key Technical Indicators
Breakout: The stock has just experienced a significant breakout.
Support Levels: Identified at ₹175.67 (Support 1), ₹214.03 (Support 2), and ₹266.25 (Support 3).
Massive Volume Buildup: Indicating strong buying interest.
Detailed Analysis
Breakout
Breakout Level: ₹307.75
Implications: This breakout suggests a strong bullish sentiment, indicating the potential for further upward movement.
Volume Confirmation: The breakout is supported by a massive volume spike, which adds credibility to this move.
Support Levels
Support 1: ₹175.67 - This is a long-term support level, providing a solid foundation.
Support 2: ₹214.03 - A medium-term support level, crucial for maintaining bullish momentum.
Support 3: ₹266.25 - The most recent support level, pivotal in the current trend.
Massive Volume Buildup
Volume Trend: The significant increase in volume suggests strong market interest and participation.
Significance: High volume during a breakout indicates robust buying pressure, often leading to sustained price increases.
Price Targets
Immediate Resistance: ₹325.00 - The next level to watch for potential resistance.
Medium-Term Target: ₹350.00 - A psychological level and potential profit-taking zone.
Long-Term Target: ₹400.00 - If the bullish momentum continues, this could be a feasible target.
Conclusion
IRCON International Limited has shown a powerful breakout with strong volume support, indicating a bullish trend. With significant support levels in place and increasing market interest, this stock could be on a solid upward trajectory. Keep an eye on the immediate resistance at ₹325.00 and watch the volume closely for further clues. Happy trading, and may your portfolio be as strong as IRCON’s infrastructure projects! 🏗️📈
Disclaimer
This analysis is based on historical data and chart patterns. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
Stock Market Analysis Report: Lupin Limited (NSE: LUPIN)
Introduction
Greetings, traders! If you're looking for a pharmaceutical stock that might just cure your portfolio blues, look no further than Lupin Limited. This stock is brewing up an interesting pattern that’s worth a closer look. Let’s dive into the technical details and see what’s in store!
Price Action Overview
Chart Analysis
Current Price: ₹1,759.30
Daily High: ₹1,767.00
Daily Low: ₹1,598.25
Volume: 10.039M
Key Technical Indicators
Bearish Gartley Pattern: The chart reveals a bearish Gartley pattern, suggesting a potential reversal.
Rectangle Pattern with Potential False Breakout: The price is within a rectangle pattern, hinting at a potential false breakout.
Decreasing Volume: The volume is on a decline, which could signal weakening momentum.
Detailed Analysis
Bearish Gartley Pattern
Formation: The Bearish Gartley pattern, marked by points X, A, B, C, and D, indicates a potential reversal from the current uptrend.
Implications: This pattern suggests that the stock might face resistance at the current levels and could potentially see a pullback.
Rectangle Pattern with Potential False Breakout
Rectangle Pattern: The stock price is trading within a rectangle pattern, showing consolidation between support and resistance levels.
False Breakout: The current breakout might be a false one, as indicated by the rectangle pattern and the resistance at point D.
Decreasing Volume
Volume Trend: The decreasing volume trend suggests that the current upward momentum might be losing steam.
Significance: Lower volume during a breakout can indicate a lack of strong buying interest, increasing the chances of a reversal.
Price Targets and Support Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,800.00 - This is the next resistance level to watch closely.
Support Levels:
Primary Support: ₹1,600.00 - A key level to maintain for bullish sentiment.
Secondary Support: ₹1,400.00 - A more conservative support level aligning with previous consolidation areas.
💊📉
Conclusion
Lupin Limited is showing a bearish Gartley pattern with a potential false breakout within a rectangle pattern. The decreasing volume adds caution to the current bullish momentum. Keep an eye on the resistance level at ₹1,800.00 and monitor the volume to gauge the strength of the current trend. Happy trading, and may your portfolio stay healthy and robust! 🌿💰
Disclaimer
This analysis is based on historical data and chart patterns. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
TESLA long term bearishness startedTesla seems loosing strength with rising wedge bearish pattern broken with volume. This is long term review as chart is 1W TF. So result may be for long terms like 4week to 12weeks or further. So please don’t over judge it but any positive news there, it will be opportunity of sell on rise only. As this is very strong pattern and wont fail in most of the scenarios especially when we see it in longer timeframes. It can also fill the gap till 208 too then big players will start the bear run too.
*Target8 & 9 are bit bold but you never know as wedge pattern targets are always bigger.
Ideally last bullish target - 208 after that it can attract the further fall. But this is just assumption, please don’t go wild. without any financial advice. I am not a financial adviser. Sorry in advance if i attract any trouble, i am not responsible if things go right or wrong. This is my general view as per chart patterns.
Target1 177
Target2 166
Target3 153
Target4 144
Target5 129
Target6 117
Target7 103
Target8 85
Target9 68
JK Paper Ltd Stock Analysis: Breakout with Volume Signals BullisJK Paper Ltd (NSE: JKPAPER) has exhibited a significant bullish breakout on its long-term chart, suggesting potential for further upside. Here's a detailed analysis of the stock's technical indicators:
Breakout Confirmation:
The stock has successfully broken above a key resistance level around 450 INR, accompanied by increased trading volume. This breakout signals strong buying interest and could indicate the start of a new uptrend.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Current Resistance: The previous resistance at 450 INR may now act as support.
Next Potential Resistance: 500 INR (psychologically important level)
Strong Support: 303 INR (based on previous price action)
Volume Analysis:
The breakout is supported by a significant increase in trading volume, lending credibility to the price movement. This suggests institutional participation and increased investor interest.
Price Action:
The stock has formed a series of higher lows and higher highs since 2021, indicating a long-term uptrend. The recent breakout reinforces this bullish trend.
Momentum:
The sharp upward move following the breakout suggests strong momentum. However, traders should be cautious of potential short-term overbought conditions.
Future Outlook:
If the breakout holds, the stock may target the 600 INR level in the medium term. However, a pullback to test the breakout level as support is possible and could offer a potential entry point for investors.
Risk Management:
Investors should consider placing stop-losses below the breakout level to manage downside risk.
Trading Strategy and Future Targets for JK Paper Ltd (NSE: JKPAPER)
Based on the recent breakout and technical analysis, here's a comprehensive trading strategy and potential future targets for JK Paper Ltd:
Entry Strategy:
a) Breakout Entry: Enter on a successful breakout above 450 INR with confirming volume.
b) Pullback Entry: Wait for a potential pullback to the 450-460 INR range and enter on signs of support.
Position Sizing:
Allocate no more than 2-3% of trading capital to this position to manage risk effectively.
Stop Loss Placement:
Set initial stop loss at 435 INR (just below the breakout level) to protect against false breakouts.
Target Levels:
Short-term Target: 520 INR (+15% from breakout)
Medium-term Target: 600 INR (+33% from breakout)
Long-term Target: 700 INR (+55% from breakout)
Conclusion:
JK Paper Ltd's technical chart presents a bullish scenario with the recent volume-supported breakout. While the long-term trend appears positive, investors should monitor for pullbacks and use appropriate risk management strategies.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and chart patterns. Investors should conduct their own research and consider fundamental factors before making investment decisions.
Amazing breakout on Weekly / Daily Timeframe - RENUKACheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favour that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN LOWER TIMEFRAME AND RETRACE IF NEEDED. SL IS NEARER SUPPORT ZONE IN Daily TIMEFRAME.
PS: No new Nifty500 script can escape from me when making a breakout. :-)
I usually don't believe in patterns, since pattern trading era is gone. However, breakout works since price reacts first before the news.
It's just a perspective, a simple chart for pattern lovers.....
USDT.D: Identifying a Falling Wedge#USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Analysis
#Current Technical Setup
**Timeframe**: 4-hour chart
**Patterns Observed**:
1. **Bullish Divergence**: USDT.D has formed a bullish divergence, indicating potential upward momentum. Bullish divergence occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the oscillator (such as RSI or MACD) makes higher lows, suggesting weakening downward momentum and a possible reversal to the upside.
2. **Falling Wedge**: The chart is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal pattern. This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines sloping downward, indicating a potential break to the upside if the price manages to break out above the upper trend line.
#### Key Resistance Levels
1. **5.18%**: This is the initial resistance level that USDT.D might encounter after a breakout from the falling wedge. It marks a significant level where the price has previously faced selling pressure.
2. **6.2%**: If USDT.D successfully breaks above the 5.18% resistance, the next major resistance level is at 6.2%. This level represents a more substantial barrier and could be a pivotal point in determining the continuation of the upward trend.
#### Support Levels and Bearish Scenario
1. **4.5%**: If USDT.D fails to sustain above the current support level within the falling wedge, it could experience a significant decline, with the next support level at 4.5%. This would represent a bearish scenario, suggesting a potential plunge in USDT dominance and possible increased risk appetite in the broader cryptocurrency market.
### Detailed Description
**Bullish Divergence**: The presence of a bullish divergence on the 4-hour chart is a positive sign for USDT.D. Divergences are powerful indicators that often precede significant price movements. In this case, the divergence suggests that despite the recent downward price action, the selling pressure is diminishing, and buyers may soon gain control.
**Falling Wedge Pattern**: The falling wedge is a well-known bullish reversal pattern. It indicates that while the price is falling, the downward momentum is slowing down, and a breakout to the upside is likely. Traders often look for confirmation of this pattern by waiting for the price to close above the upper trend line with increased volume.
**Resistance Levels**:
- **5.18%**: This level is crucial as it has acted as resistance in the past. A break above this level would likely attract more buyers, pushing the price higher.
- **6.2%**: A further move to this level would confirm the strength of the breakout. It is a more significant resistance level and could determine whether the bullish trend continues.
**Support Level at 4.5%**: If USDT.D fails to hold its current support level and breaks downwards, a decline to 4.5% is possible. This would indicate a bearish turn and suggest that traders are moving away from USDT into other assets, reflecting a more risk-on sentiment in the market.
#Conclusion
USDT.D is at a critical juncture with a bullish divergence and a potential falling wedge pattern. The key resistance levels to watch are 5.18% and 6.2%. A break above these levels would confirm the bullish outlook. Conversely, failure to hold support could lead to a decline to 4.5%, indicating a shift in market sentiment. Traders should closely monitor these levels and patterns to make informed decisions.
Bitcoin Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern #Bitcoin Inverse H&S Spotted
▪️ CRYPTOCAP:BTC Inverted H&S potential building
▪️ Clear breakout level to watch
▪️ Attractive upside targets if triggered
▪️ No confirmation yet, so caution is still advised
While traders are buzzing about a potential inverted head and shoulders forming on the BTC charts, caution is still warranted until we get CONFIRMATION.
The breakout point to watch is $43,700 - only a decisive 4 Hour CLOSE above that level would trigger the bullish pattern targeting:
▫️ 1st Target: $47,090
▫️ 2nd Target: $49,225
CRUCIAL: Below the neckline at $43700 Bitcoin remains Bearish territory.
Disciplined traders will await a confirmed breakout before getting too bullish here!
Patience pays with chart patterns.
AMBUJACEMStock chart patterns often signal transitions between rising and falling trends. A price pattern is a recognizable configuration of price movement identified using a series of trendlines and/or curves.
When a price pattern signals a change in trend direction, it is known as a reversal pattern; a continuation pattern occurs when the trend continues in its existing direction following a brief pause. There are many patterns used by traders—here is how patterns are made and some of the most popular ones.
Forex Trade Analysis on Gold using the ICT Killer Zone StrategyDescription:
Embark on a lucrative journey in the Forex market with a compelling Buy Trade opportunity on Gold, backed by meticulous technical analysis and the powerful ICT Killer Zone Strategy. As market dynamics continue to evolve, informed traders recognize the potential for substantial gains within the precious metals sector, and Gold, often considered a safe-haven asset, presents a particularly enticing prospect.
Technical Analysis Overview:
The decision to initiate a Buy Trade on Gold is rooted in a comprehensive technical analysis that considers multiple indicators and chart patterns. Key factors contributing to this opportunity include:
Trend Analysis : A careful examination of Gold's historical price movements reveals a robust upward trend, indicating a bullish market sentiment. This is supported by the convergence of various moving averages, emphasizing the sustained strength in the asset's value.
Support and Resistance Levels : Identifying key support levels, where the price tends to rebound, and resistance levels, where it may face hurdles, is crucial. In this analysis, Gold has shown resilience at strategic support levels, signaling a favorable entry point for traders.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI, a momentum oscillator, has been analyzed to ensure that Gold is not overbought. The RSI readings align with the Killer Zone Strategy, suggesting a balanced market condition suitable for a calculated Buy Trade.
ICT Killer Zone Strategy:
The ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Killer Zone Strategy is a sophisticated approach that considers market structure, key Fibonacci levels, and institutional order flow. The Killer Zone, a critical area on the price chart, is identified through a confluence of these elements, enhancing the probability of successful trades. For the Gold Buy Trade, the following aspects of the Killer Zone Strategy come into play:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: By applying Fibonacci retracement levels to recent price swings, the Killer Zone is strategically placed at the confluence of these levels. This adds a layer of confirmation, aligning with the natural ebb and flow of the market.
Market Structure Analysis: Understanding market structure, including the highs and lows of price action, allows traders to pinpoint the optimal entry within the Killer Zone. This meticulous analysis minimizes risk and maximizes the potential for profit.
Order Flow Considerations: Factoring in institutional order flow provides a holistic view of market dynamics. The Killer Zone is strategically positioned to align with major institutional orders, increasing the likelihood of a significant price move in the intended direction.
Forex Pip Target:
The objective of this Gold Buy Trade is to achieve a Forex Pip Target that aligns with the potential price movement indicated by the technical analysis and the Killer Zone Strategy. The target is carefully calculated based on historical volatility, support and resistance levels, and the overall market sentiment.
In conclusion, this Gold Buy Trade opportunity presents a compelling prospect for Forex traders seeking a well-researched and strategically sound investment. With the confluence of technical analysis and the ICT Killer Zone Strategy, traders can confidently navigate the Forex market and strive to capitalize on the potential gains offered by this carefully identified opportunity.
FinNifty for next week 18th July's expiryFinifty I expect to go long next week's expiry. Please see the description in the charts.
The right side is 5 mins chart depicting
1. double bottom
2. break of lower high
3. Process of creating a 2 legged correction, once the second leg is created,
it will be a good time to go long
The right side is higher time frame 1 hr depicts
1. Flag and Pole pattern
2. Price pullback was 50% so there is good chance to go up from here as it's close to EMA
3. Daily time frame today creating an inside candle most likely by end of day
Note: Please note this analysis is just for educational purpose only and it's just based on technical analysis and chart patterns.
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 21 Mar 2023Today was a different day for me personally, i almost lost focus at around 10.30am & i posted the same in banknifty minds. "$BANKNIFTY i have no clue on the direction - options data/flow is confusing today"
I normally use options flow/data to guess the direction of NSE:BANKNIFTY rather than the direct candle stick or chart pattern. Options data usually does not give false signals unlike chart patterns.
From the open till 12.40 i did not see the options premium or skew happening which prompted me to post that message. Since i dont do straddles - the best non-directional trade was out of my arsenal.
The reason i dont rely on straddles is because of current global scenario. Any time in the day the volatility can shoot up & kick your teeth even before you know it. Most of the traders are pre-determined that they are ready to take a loss to make a profit later.
I do not trade with the mindset to lose. Not that i dont lose money, but i dont make a plan to set a loss amount first & then plan for a lottery kind of win. I usually wait for high probability trade scenarios & only commit when conditions are favorable.
The small range we were in till 12.40, straddlers who held on till 12.40 would have made decent gains due to the time decay.
But who did not square off would have seen their call options go way in the money & the losses quadrupled.
The upmove really started at 12.00 and gained upto 1.42% ~ 558pts by 14.50. This gain shows 2 major things
The bulls are still having lot of faith in the NSE:BANKNIFTY that they could drive up the demand even from the low point of the day.
The important resistance of 39742 is broken on the 5mts, 15mts & 1hr chart which means further rally is in the cards.
At 13.14 i posted this "$BANKNIFTY 39742 resistance has to be broken for a bias change"
I ended up on the losing side as i strongly felt the rally will not break the resistance. Once it broke it i placed some orders to short the PEs - but they missed the price targets by 10paisa :(
And my 39500/39400 4:5 ratio spread is sitting at a loss !
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For the 15mts TF, we discussed yesterday about the possibility that it could be in a range. Today's resistance break give it wings. It could soon scale upwards if we have a decent US market close today.
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1hr TF is interesting as bank nifty is back in the range of 39742–41624 after a gap of 7d 22hr ~ 40 hrs.
Since NSE:BANKNIFTY is back in the range - it brings in excellent range based trade possibilities. Iron condor, Iron fly & even credit spreads could work wonders if deployed & adjusted correctly.
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Contra view: looking at the bank nifty components i did not see a spike in volumes in these banks when the 39742 resistance was taken out.
There is a small probability that it could even be to adjust for the Finnifty expiry - if thats the case then the 2nd half of tomorrow we could see a crash that will take bank nifty below the recent swing low.
XNGUSD ( Upside) Bullish moment is possible in long term.XNGUSD is making Falling Wedge Pattern as shown in the figure. Its in a Day chart and respecting trendlines completely. A very strong support point at the downside in daily and weekly chart patterns.
1) Day chart is making Falling Wedge Pattern
2) More than 56% downfall from the Top.
3) Respecting Trendlines completely.
4) Defiantly, it will take time to recover this big fall.
5) Bullish moment is strongly recommended from this point now.
Take Small Small lots in the upside directions.